Predictions about uncertain matters can
be made in various ways. We can offer
you predictions that will be Intelligent in some
important senses, regardless if you need help predicting one variable or need to build a robust system
that collects information and use statistical methods to produce informative
multi variable predictions for daily, weekly, monthly or quartely
reports.
Even for subjects were data is not relaible or missing we
can offer a systematic and Intelligent process to make
the best possible predictions by our experience in
processing expert judgements.
In many cases a combination of these two line of actions become a success story.
Our solutions are Intelligent in the following ways. Data management and advanced statistics are used when relaible data are availible.
For continous multi predictions we incorporate the process in leading Business Intelligence tools to make the process optimized.
But often policy decisions need to be made in some extension also without reliable data, then instead of implicity using expert judgement in the process, we offer
a transparent formal process (applying Expert Elicitation) minimizing the risk with subjective judgement. This way the decisionmaker get's the best possible and most objective picture for making choices.
The whole process is always set up in a way to
improve traceability, transparency and efficiency to our
customers work processes and projects stages, and
consequently, add value, productivity and easy evaluation, thereby creating a learning process. The Expert Elicitation processes are based on risk analyses which add good
sources for the results and an expected value is presented along with a probability distribution reflecting the uncertainty of the
predictions.
We offer consultancy in project forms in a close partnership with our clients. Normally we start our projects with
some intensive days of work shop at Fanoo Castle in Sweden (or at our clients spot). This way the project get's an instant pleasant start and
we make sure
everything is set up properly to meet everybodys expectations of quality and end product.
We have long experience
in the following areas:
-Economic and Business Forecasting
-Data Management, Output reporting and
Consolidation
-IT solutions and Development
-Assisting political descision making
(e.g. at Ministry of Finance and National Institute of
Economic Research)
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